上次议息会议以来,多项通胀指标呈持续下降趋势。美国去年 12 月消费者价格指数(CPI)和生产者物价指数(PPI)月率环比开始由涨转跌,作为美联储最关注的通胀指标之一,剔除食品和能源价格波动因素的核心 PCE 上月同比上涨 4.4%,使去年四季度的平均通胀率降至 4.7%,这已经低于美联储 12 月发布的经济预测中 4.8% 的展望。这些信号表明,美联储的政策正在产生效果。

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