大新銀行經濟研究及投資策略部發表評論表示,本港去年第四季經濟預估為按年下跌 4.2%,跌幅較第三季的 4.6% 略為收窄,但遜於市場的 2.9% 及該行預期的 2.8%,按季則大致持平,市場原先預期為增長 2%。

評論指,本港去年第四季外貿表現進一步轉差,其中出口按年下跌 24.8%,跌幅較第三季的 15.8 進一步擴大,為 1975 年以來最差的季度表現,主要受到外圍及內地需求疲弱拖累;進口跌幅亦擴大至 22.8%,跌幅高過前一季的 16.4%。然而服務輸出和輸入均回升。

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