Shareholders in Top Spring International Holdings (HKG:3688) have lost 58%, as stock drops 13% this past week

Simplywall
2025.03.28 10:46
portai
I'm PortAI, I can summarize articles.

Top Spring International Holdings (HKG:3688) has seen a significant decline in its share price, dropping 58% over the past five years and 30% in the last year. Recently, the stock fell 13% in just one week. Despite a revenue growth of 20% per year, the company remains unprofitable, leading to disappointing share price performance. Total shareholder return (TSR) is better due to dividends, but the stock's long-term weakness raises concerns. Investors are advised to consider potential risks and challenges before investing.

Generally speaking long term investing is the way to go. But along the way some stocks are going to perform badly. For example, after five long years the Top Spring International Holdings Limited (HKG:3688) share price is a whole 62% lower. That is extremely sub-optimal, to say the least. And some of the more recent buyers are probably worried, too, with the stock falling 30% in the last year. Shareholders have had an even rougher run lately, with the share price down 29% in the last 90 days.

With the stock having lost 13% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.

We've found 21 US stocks that are forecast to pay a dividend yield of over 6% next year. See the full list for free.

Top Spring International Holdings isn't currently profitable, so most analysts would look to revenue growth to get an idea of how fast the underlying business is growing. Generally speaking, companies without profits are expected to grow revenue every year, and at a good clip. Some companies are willing to postpone profitability to grow revenue faster, but in that case one would hope for good top-line growth to make up for the lack of earnings.

In the last half decade, Top Spring International Holdings saw its revenue increase by 20% per year. That's better than most loss-making companies. In contrast, the share price is has averaged a loss of 10% per year - that's quite disappointing. It's safe to say investor expectations are more grounded now. If you think the company can keep up its revenue growth, you'd have to consider the possibility that there's an opportunity here.

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

SEHK:3688 Earnings and Revenue Growth March 28th 2025

Take a more thorough look at Top Spring International Holdings' financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.

What About The Total Shareholder Return (TSR)?

We'd be remiss not to mention the difference between Top Spring International Holdings' total shareholder return (TSR) and its share price return. The TSR attempts to capture the value of dividends (as if they were reinvested) as well as any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings offered to shareholders. Dividends have been really beneficial for Top Spring International Holdings shareholders, and that cash payout explains why its total shareholder loss of 58%, over the last 5 years, isn't as bad as the share price return.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 35% in the last year, Top Spring International Holdings shareholders lost 30%. However, keep in mind that even the best stocks will sometimes underperform the market over a twelve month period. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 10% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Top Spring International Holdings better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Top Spring International Holdings (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Top Spring International Holdings may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Hong Kong exchanges.