
What You Can Learn From Canopy Growth Corporation's (TSE:WEED) P/S After Its 28% Share Price Crash

Canopy Growth Corporation (TSE:WEED) has experienced a 28% drop in share price over the past month, resulting in an 87% loss for shareholders over the last year. The company's price-to-sales (P/S) ratio stands at 0.8x, comparable to the Pharmaceuticals industry median of 0.7x. Despite a disappointing revenue decline of 5.4% last year and a total drop of 50% over three years, analysts predict a modest revenue growth of 7.1% annually for the next three years. Investors appear to be cautiously optimistic, but risks remain, including three warning signs for the company.
Unfortunately for some shareholders, the Canopy Growth Corporation (TSE:WEED) share price has dived 28% in the last thirty days, prolonging recent pain. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 87% loss during that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Canopy Growth's P/S ratio of 0.8x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Pharmaceuticals industry in Canada is also close to 0.7x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
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See our latest analysis for Canopy Growth
What Does Canopy Growth's Recent Performance Look Like?
Canopy Growth hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Canopy Growth will help you uncover what's on the horizon.
Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Canopy Growth's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 50% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 7.1% per year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 7.3% growth each year, the company is positioned for a comparable revenue result.
With this in mind, it makes sense that Canopy Growth's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Apparently shareholders are comfortable to simply hold on while the company is keeping a low profile.
What Does Canopy Growth's P/S Mean For Investors?
Canopy Growth's plummeting stock price has brought its P/S back to a similar region as the rest of the industry. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've seen that Canopy Growth maintains an adequate P/S seeing as its revenue growth figures match the rest of the industry. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/S as they are quite confident future revenue won't throw up any surprises. All things considered, if the P/S and revenue estimates contain no major shocks, then it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Canopy Growth has 3 warning signs (and 1 which can't be ignored) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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