在本周五是与股票、指数期权和期货挂钩的衍生品合约到期的 “三巫日” 来临之际,一路飙涨的美股终于稍事休息。黄仁勋套现的消息还是冲击到了英伟达的行情,拖着 AI 板块整体性回落。

此外,也要注意近期经济数据的演绎:随着核心服务 CPI 的降温 + 就业/薪资数据仍然旺盛,5 月上半段交易的明显是软着陆下科技向上的预期。

如果经济数据进一步向下演绎,比如说社零已经转弱了两个月,PMI 也在变差。尤其是如果消费类数据持续转弱,市场软着陆的交易可能就会变质,往轻衰退的方向走。

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