$英伟达 (NVDA.US)$罗素 2000 3 倍做多 - Direxion(TNA.US)
昨晚做了一笔调仓，减掉了一半英伟达和亚马逊。建仓了 XBI 与 TNA。逻辑是美国 CPI 预期值 3.1%，实际值 3% 好于预期，且衰退风险增加。叠加川普获胜概率大增，则 9 月降息概率大幅度增大。降息利好 XBI，因为生物科技企业的研发需要大量融资，降息可降低其融资成本。降息也利好 TNA。因为小盘股的风险偏好更高，降息=流动性增加，风险资金增加。之前资金抱团七巨头是出于安全考虑。降息预期下可以预期美股市场将发生风格切换，资金将从英伟达亚马逊等大盘股切换至小票。小票估值目前普遍处于低位，大票估值并不便宜。降息预期下，小票具有更高的成长空间。
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