仝志斌
2024.09.19 05:19

Key takeaways from the Alibaba Cloud Summit:

1. Although inference costs have been significantly reduced (the API call price for Tongyi Qianwen on Alibaba Cloud Bailian has dropped by 97%), scaling laws still apply, requiring manufacturers to increase capital expenditures to solve computational problems. Eddie Wu stated, "The investment threshold for global advanced model competition will reach billions or even tens of billions of dollars." The industry remains capital-intensive, and the future winners in large models will depend not only on technology but also on the computational power reserves built by massive funding.

2. Currently, AIGC applications are still at the mobile app stage (from ChatGPT to domestic manufacturers, apps are the main path), but this should not be the ultimate potential of AI. Eddie Wu believes, "The greatest potential of AI lies in penetrating the digital world, taking over the digital world, and transforming the physical world." In other words, AI will completely mimic human actions and thoughts to reshape the world—this is the grand vision of AI.

3. After the rise of AI, cloud demand has surged (in the new computing power market, over 50% of new demand is driven by AI). This presents a significant opportunity for cloud computing providers: "Having funds to reserve computing power—providing customers with increased cloud usage—boosting revenue and profitability—further strengthening the computing power moat." Under the dual pressures of large models and customer cloud usage, the competitive landscape of cloud computing providers will rapidly change: money isn't everything, but without money, nothing is possible. XPeng announced an annual R&D investment of 3.5 billion yuan, with 700 million yuan dedicated to computing power training, as an example.

4. The debate between closed-source and open-source is not just a discussion of technical routes but largely a choice between "less money" and "more money." Simply put, the former requires less investment, has clearer revenue streams, and relatively lower computing power demands but limited scenarios. The latter involves higher investment, greater computing power, stronger collaboration, higher computing power requirements, and richer scenarios (e.g., building local area network large models).

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