Is the calm period of US stocks coming to an end? Morgan Stanley's trading department predicts that the S&P 500 index will experience significant volatility due to CPI fluctuations

華爾街見聞
2024.07.09 18:14
摩根大通交易部門提醒投資者，在經歷了長時間的平靜後要為本週美國股市的劇烈波動做好準備。該行交易部美國市場信息主管 Andrew Tyler 説，當天到期的平價跨式期權的價格顯示，期權市場目前押注標普 500 指數週四前上下波動 0.9%。美國將在那之前公佈最新的消費者價格指數，在交易員押注通脹放緩會推動美聯儲年內降息兩次的情況下，數據可能引發市場異常波動。“多位前美聯儲理事認為 9 月是降息的合適時機，” Tyler 和他的團隊在週二給客户的研報中寫道，“考慮到這一點，我們在戰術上仍然看漲，但信心略有下降。”
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