Goldman Sachs CFO: Fed's significant rate cut ignites hopes for a soft landing!

JIN10
2024.09.25 14:13
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Goldman Sachs Chief Financial Officer Dennis Coleman said that the recent 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve has brought hope for a soft landing of the U.S. economy. Despite market concerns about inflation and recession risks, the rate cut is seen as a significant turning point in monetary policy that may stimulate economic activity. Coleman believes that this move will boost confidence, lower the cost of capital, and promote strategic activities. However, some experts remain cautious about the long-term resilience of the economy, emphasizing that historically, significant rate cuts have not necessarily prevented recessions

The Federal Reserve recently decided to cut interest rates by 50 basis points, bringing a new wave of optimism to the trajectory of the U.S. economy.

According to reports, Goldman Sachs Chief Financial Officer Denis Coleman believes that while some market analysts have concerns about inflation and recession risks, it still lays a good foundation for an economic soft landing.

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) unexpectedly voted to lower its key overnight lending rate to a target range of 4.75% to 5%, defying the expectations of some economists. This is the first substantial rate cut since the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic and is seen as a significant turning point in monetary policy since the 2008 financial crisis.

In an interview, Coleman shared his insights, stating, " This 50 basis point rate cut is a clear sign of a new direction. I hope this will boost confidence, lower the cost of capital, and potentially promote strategic activities as we approach the end of the year."

He optimistically believes that this rate cut may stimulate economic activity, especially as businesses work through backlogged orders and prepare for market participation in 2025.

Despite the optimistic outlook, some experts remain cautious about the long-term resilience of the U.S. economy. Historical precedents show that significant rate cuts in the past have not always been successful in preventing economic downturns, especially in the early 2000s and during the global financial crisis.

Analysts are closely monitoring whether the latest rate cut can effectively control inflation while avoiding triggering an economic downturn.

Coleman acknowledges these concerns but remains optimistic about the current economic situation. " At the moment, a soft landing seems to be the consensus," he said when discussing the possibility of a soft landing.

He points out that the inflation rate is trending downwards, and the unemployment level is within a manageable range. The proactive rate cuts by the Federal Reserve are seen as successful efforts to guide these economic transitions strategically.

However, not all financial leaders share Coleman's optimism. JP Morgan CEO Damon expressed a more cautious view on the economic outlook. His comments highlight the ongoing debate among industry experts regarding changes in monetary policy and the effectiveness of stabilizing the economy.

The Fed's actions aim to instill confidence in the market and consumers, creating an environment conducive to growth while managing inflation pressures.

Therefore, while Goldman Sachs' Chief Financial Officer sees the recent rate cut as a step towards a soft landing for the U.S. economy, some analysts remain skeptical, recalling past economic challenges associated with similar monetary policy decisions. As we enter 2025, people will be watching how these developments unfold and what they mean for American businesses and consumers.

Whether the Federal Reserve can strike a balance between stimulating growth and controlling inflation will be crucial in determining whether this optimistic outlook can be realized