美聯儲 11 月降息 25BP 的概率為 95.6% 不降息概率 4.4%

JIN10
2024.10.13 22:04
portai
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According to CME's "FedWatch Tool": The probability of the Fed cutting 25 basis points by November is 95.6%, while the probability of maintaining the current interest rate is 4.4%. The cumulative probability of a 25 basis points cut by December is 15.4%, a 50 basis points cut is 84.1%, a 75 basis points cut is 0%, and a 100 basis points cut is 0%

According to CME's "FedWatch Tool" on October 14th, the probability of the Fed cutting rates by 25 basis points in November is 95.6%, while the probability of keeping the current interest rate unchanged is 4.4%. The probabilities for cumulative rate cuts by December are as follows: 15.4% for a 25 basis points cut, 84.1% for a 50 basis points cut, 0% for a 75 basis points cut, and 0% for a 100 basis points cut