Think Nvidia Is Expensive? This Chart Might Change Your Mind.
Nvidia's stock has surged 850% since last year, currently trading at a P/E ratio of 55, higher than the S&P 500's 31. Despite appearing expensive, Nvidia's strong growth potential and market dominance in AI chips justify its valuation. The company is projected to report $3.5 billion in revenue for its fiscal fourth quarter, reflecting a 70% year-over-year increase. Compared to its five-year average P/E of 81, Nvidia's current valuation may be considered attractive, especially at 32 times next year's expected earnings.
Recent advances in artificial intelligence (AI) could have a profound impact on our lives. The ability to automate and streamline tasks and create original content has the potential to increase productivity and save time and money.
One company that's been on the bleeding edge of that trend is Nvidia (NVDA -2.69%). The company's graphics processing units (GPUs) are the gold standard used to underpin this revolutionary technology, which has fueled a stratospheric increase in its sales and profits -- and, ultimately, its stock price.
Nvidia is up 850% since early last year, as of this writing, but it has also seen a commensurate increase in its valuation. The company currently has a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 55, well above the 31 multiple for the S&P 500. While that might seem expensive at first glance, appearances can be deceiving, and the stock isn't as expensive as you might think.
History can be instructive
While valuation metrics can be helpful tools to assess whether a stock is fairly valued, they should never be considered in a vacuum. For example, a stock can trade at a premium if it has a strong potential for future growth, market dominance, or a strong history of innovation. Nvidia meets all of these criteria, which helps explain why investors are willing to pay up for the stock.
For example, for its fiscal fourth quarter, which ends Jan. 28, Nvidia is guiding for revenue of $37.5 billion, which would represent year-over-year growth of 70%, with a commensurate increase in its profitability. It's estimated that Nvidia controls between 70% and 95% of the advanced AI chip market, leaving crumbs for rivals. And its Blackwell AI processor is the most powerful AI-centric processor ever built, as Nvidia's history of innovation continues.
However, one chart shows Nvidia isn't as expensive as you might think.
Data by YCharts
You might think Nvidia is expensive at 55 times earnings, but that's a bargain compared with its five-year average multiple of 81. Furthermore, at 32 times next year's expected earnings, Nvidia is attractively priced, especially when considering its growth prospects.