Prologis: Expects the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points this week, and Powell may hint at a slowdown in the pace of rate cuts next year
Blerina Uruçi, Chief U.S. Economist at Ployce, expects that during the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and press conference in December, Chairman Powell will avoid deviating too far from market expectations and current market pricing. Her baseline forecast is that the FOMC will cut rates by 25 basis points this week, and by 50 basis points in 2025, with a final target rate upper limit of 4.0%. This expectation is fully reflected in market pricing and is well understood by the market. The firm anticipates that Powell will suggest a slowdown in the pace of rate cuts next year, and that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold in January. The risk is that if the economy remains robust, the process of cooling inflation stalls, or if price pressures intensify in the first quarter of 2025, the Federal Reserve may maintain rates unchanged for a longer period. This is not the firm's baseline forecast, but they believe this scenario is more likely than the Federal Reserve making significant rate cuts next year
According to the Zhitong Finance APP, Blerina Uruçi, Chief U.S. Economist at Ployce, expects that during the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting and press conference in December, Chairman Powell will avoid deviating too far from market expectations and current market pricing. Her baseline prediction is that the FOMC will cut rates by 25 basis points this week, and by 50 basis points in 2025, with the upper limit of the final interest rate target range set at 4.0%. This expectation is fully reflected in market pricing and is well understood by the market.
The bank anticipates that Powell will suggest a slowdown in the pace of rate cuts next year, and that the Federal Reserve will remain on hold in January. The risk is that if the economy remains robust, the process of cooling inflation stalls, or if price pressures intensify in the first quarter of 2025, the Federal Reserve may maintain rates unchanged for a longer period. This is not the bank's baseline prediction, but it believes this scenario is more likely than the Federal Reserve making significant rate cuts next year