Meritage Homes Corporation's (NYSE:MTH) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking
Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) has a low P/E ratio of 6.7x, making it appear attractive compared to the market average. However, this low ratio may indicate concerns about future growth, with analysts predicting only 1.8% earnings growth over the next three years, significantly below the market's expected 11%. Despite a recent earnings increase of 7.5%, investor sentiment suggests limited future growth potential, which keeps the P/E low. Additionally, there are warning signs regarding the company's performance that investors should consider.
When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 18x, you may consider Meritage Homes Corporation (NYSE:MTH) as a highly attractive investment with its 6.7x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
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Recent times have been advantageous for Meritage Homes as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Meritage Homes
Keen to find out how analysts think Meritage Homes' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.
What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Meritage Homes would need to produce anemic growth that's substantially trailing the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 7.5%. The solid recent performance means it was also able to grow EPS by 12% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have probably been satisfied with the medium-term rates of earnings growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 1.8% per year over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 11% growth per annum, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
With this information, we can see why Meritage Homes is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Meritage Homes' P/E?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-earnings ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Meritage Homes maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Meritage Homes (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
