Alibaba Stock Rallies to 4-Year High on $53B AI Push, Qwen-Max 3 Launch

Tip Ranks
2025.09.24 09:43
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Alibaba's stock has surged to a four-year high following its announcement of a $53 billion investment in AI, including the launch of the Qwen-Max 3 model with over 1 trillion parameters. The company aims to become a full-stack AI service provider and plans to open new data centers globally. Despite challenges in accessing advanced AI chips, Alibaba is competing aggressively with U.S. tech giants. The stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating, with a price target suggesting a 3.3% upside potential.

As part of this push, Alibaba announced the launch of its new large-scale AI model, the Qwen3-Max, aimed at strengthening its position in the fast-changing AI race. Alibaba Cloud CTO Zhou Jingren revealed that the model has more than 1 trillion parameters and is designed to excel in code generation and autonomous agent capabilities.

Alibaba Doubles Down on AI Expansion

Wu expects global AI investment to reach about $4 trillion in the next five years. To keep pace, Alibaba plans to increase its spending beyond an earlier commitments and position itself as a "full-stack AI service provider," building both services and the infrastructure to power them. The company's cloud division, which already serves regions from the U.S. to Australia, will open new data centers in Brazil, France, and the Netherlands within the next year.

According to Bloomberg Intelligence, the total AI-related capital spending from China's tech giants, including Alibaba, Baidu (BIDU), Tencent (TCHEY), and JD.com (JD), is expected to exceed $32 billion this year, more than double the $13 billion spent in 2023.

Challenges and Global Competition

Despite the heavy investments, Chinese companies face headwinds due to limited access to Nvidia's (NVDA) advanced AI chips, pushing them to accelerate the use of in-house semiconductors. Alibaba recently won a major contract from leading wireless carrier, China Unicom, to deploy its own Pingtouge or "T-Head" AI accelerators.

Alibaba's aggressive AI strategy puts it in direct competition with U.S. tech leaders such as Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), Meta (META) and Microsoft (MSFT). These companies are reportedly spending a total of up to $320 billion on AI technologies and data center expansion this year.

Is BABA Stock a Buy, Hold, or Sell?

On TipRanks, BABA stock has a Strong Buy consensus rating based on 18 Buys and one Hold rating. The average Alibaba price target of $168.38 implies 3.3% upside potential from current levels. Year-to-date, BABA stock has surged nearly 96%.