Could MSG Sports’ (MSGS) UFC Partnership at Madison Square Garden Boost Its Event-Driven Growth Story?

Simplywall
2025.10.14 13:00
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MSG Sports' partnership with UFC is expected to enhance its event-driven growth narrative, particularly with UFC 322 scheduled at Madison Square Garden on November 15. This event could boost venue revenues, reinforcing MSG's status as a premier sports destination. However, challenges remain, including declining local media rights fees, which could impact earnings. Despite these pressures, MSG anticipates $1.1 billion in revenue and $102.9 million in earnings by 2028, with a potential 21% upside in stock value. Investors are advised to consider both growth opportunities and ongoing risks.

  • The UFC recently announced that UFC 322, featuring a high-stakes title eliminator between Sean Brady and Michael Morales along with a flyweight championship bout, will take place at Madison Square Garden on November 15.
  • High-profile mixed martial arts events such as this have a track record of attracting global attention, which can boost venue-related revenues and further reinforce Madison Square Garden's status as a premier destination for major sporting spectacles.
  • We'll examine how this high-impact UFC partnership could strengthen MSG Sports' narrative around revenue growth and event-driven opportunities.

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Madison Square Garden Sports Investment Narrative Recap

For shareholders in Madison Square Garden Sports, the core belief revolves around the company’s ability to capitalize on marquee events and the enduring popularity of its flagship teams, while managing inconsistent earnings and local media revenue risks. The recent announcement of UFC 322 at Madison Square Garden is positive for event-driven revenues, but its impact does not materially shift the primary short-term catalysts or offset the ongoing challenge of declining local media rights fees, which remains a significant pressure point. Among the latest company developments, the partnership with GAME 7 for the Rangers’ centennial season stands out as highly relevant. This deal marks the first jersey patch sponsorship in team history and brings new merchandising and fan engagement opportunities, supporting event-driven revenue themes similar to those highlighted by major UFC events. Yet, in contrast to these expansion efforts, investors should also be alert to ongoing local media rights headwinds and how a structural decline in these revenues could impact...

Read the full narrative on Madison Square Garden Sports (it's free!)

Madison Square Garden Sports' outlook anticipates $1.1 billion in revenue and $102.9 million in earnings by 2028. This requires a 1.6% annual revenue growth rate and a $125.4 million increase in earnings from the current level of -$22.5 million.

Uncover how Madison Square Garden Sports' forecasts yield a $263.67 fair value, a 21% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

MSGS Community Fair Values as at Oct 2025

Simply Wall St Community participants set fair value estimates for MSG Sports from as low as US$12.88 to as high as US$263.67, demonstrating significant debate between three individual forecasts. Even with such a wide spread, the continued reduction in local media rights fees could shape the earnings outlook and frame new questions for the company’s long-term revenue mix.

Explore 3 other fair value estimates on Madison Square Garden Sports - why the stock might be worth as much as 21% more than the current price!

Build Your Own Madison Square Garden Sports Narrative

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  • A great starting point for your Madison Square Garden Sports research is our analysis highlighting 1 key reward and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.
  • Our free Madison Square Garden Sports research report provides a comprehensive fundamental analysis summarized in a single visual - the Snowflake - making it easy to evaluate Madison Square Garden Sports' overall financial health at a glance.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.