以太坊价格更新——如果该支撑位失守，价格可能达到 3400 美元！
Ethereum's price outlook remains cautious as it faces critical support at $3.9k-$4k. A drop below this level could lead to a retracement to $3.4k. Key resistances are at $4,250 and $4,472, with a bullish market structure dependent on breaching $4,755. Despite a bullish swing structure and positive developer activity, warning signs like a dip in the OBV and RSI below 50 suggest slowing demand. Investors are advised to monitor the $4k support closely, as a weekly close below $3,712 could indicate stronger bearish momentum.
Key Takeaways
What is the short-term Ethereum outlook?
The 1-day chart showed that $3.9k-$4k was an important support zone that should be defended to keep hopes of recovery alive.
What are the key resistances overhead?
The $4,250 and $4,472 were Fibonacci retracement levels. The $4,755 was a local high that should be breached to flip the market structure bullishly.
The Ethereum [ETH] ecosystem dominated the new and active developer stats for 2025, with Solana [SOL] ranking in second place. Their correlation was tight, as well, as revealed by the recent AMBCrypto report.
The outflow of Ethereum from exchanges also buoyed investor confidence. The ETH Exchange Supply Ratio on Binance was 0.033, indicative of investors moving their tokens into self-custody. It was a multi-month low.
Combined with the news of Bhutan’s National Digital Identity anchored on the Ethereum network, investors have reason to maintain a bullish outlook. What do the price charts show for the next ETH move?
Ethereum bulls should not ignore these warning signs
Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView
The weekly timeframe showed a bullish swing structure. The Fibonacci retracement levels were plotted based on this swing move from $1,385 to $4,798. At the time of writing, the bullish breaker block at $4k, highlighted in cyan, was acting as a demand zone.
However, the OBV has dipped below the high from December 2024, even though the weekly price close below $4k has not arrived. This was a warning sign for investors that demand has slowed down in recent weeks. The RSI also remained below the neutral 50.
Looking forward, a weekly session close below $3,712 would be a worrying sign, as it would show bears were strong enough to drive a retracement to $3.1k.
Source: ETH/USDT on TradingView
On the daily chart, the market structure was bearish after the drop below $3,815. The imbalance at $4.2 (white box) has been filled.
The $4,250 level represents the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of Ethereum’s most recent downward impulse move.
As a result, Ethereum bulls may struggle in the coming days to push prices beyond the $4.2k–$4.4k resistance zone. However, this effort depends on their ability to maintain support above the key psychological level of $4,000.
A drop below $3.9k could see ETH retrace to $3.4k over the next week or two.
