互换合约显示美联储今年还有两次加息的可能性超过一半

Zhitong
2023.06.29 23:42
债券交易员现在认为，美联储今年再加息两次的可能性超过了一半，也不再认为美联储在 2023 年有较大可能性会下调利率。与未来美联储会期挂钩的利率互换协议显示，美联储到 9 月将加息 25 基点，然后到年底前会再加息 15 个基点，表明从现在开始还有第二次 25 个基点加息的可能性超过 50%。 美联储最新的经济和货币政策季度预测显示，美联储官员们预计到年底会再加息两次。
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