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Zhitong
2023.08.28 23:35

花旗：如果美国能避免硬着陆 美联储量化紧缩可能会持续到 2025 年之前

花旗认为，美联储应当有在 2025 年之前继续实施量化紧缩的明确路径，只要美国经济能避免严重衰退，银行体系的储备在此之前就不会稀缺。花旗利率策略师 Jason Williams 在报告中写道，最近美联储主席鲍威尔 “强调政策利率和资产负债表是两个单独的工具，因此我们认为如果宏观环境允许，将会继续量化紧缩”。报告表示，“假设量化紧缩持续进行，我们认为只有到 2025 年才会出现储备稀缺风险，除非出现硬着陆情形。”
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