Apple's First Foldable iPhone Predictions: Market Positioning, Hardware Specs, Development Schedule, and Shipment Estimates

Market Positioning:

1.A True AI-driven Phone. Multimodal functionality and cross-app integration are the trends in AI device use cases. Larger screens enhance the AI experience, enabling scenarios like chatting with a chatbot about travel plans while viewing a full map app simultaneously.

2.Top-tier iPhone. The first-generation foldable iPhone is expected to retail above $2,000 and $2,500. Leveraging the iPhone's status as a must-have device and Apple's loyal fanbase, it's expected to generate strong replacement demand—despite the premium price—provided quality meets expectations.

Hardware Specs:

1.Touch ID returns as a side button, as Face ID may be absent due to thickness and internal space constraints.

2.The foldable iPhone will have a book-style design, featuring an approximately 7.8-inch crease-free inner display and an approximately 5.5-inch outer display.

3.The rear camera features a dual-lens setup, with one front-facing camera available in both folded and unfolded states.

4.It will measure 9–9.5mm thick when folded and 4.5–4.8mm when unfolded.

5.The hinge will combine stainless steel and titanium alloy, while the casing opts for titanium alloy.

6.It will use the same high-density battery cells as the ultra-thin iPhone 17.

Development Schedule:

1.Final specs will be locked in 2Q25, with the official project kickoff in 3Q25 and mass production slated for 4Q26.

2.The second-generation foldable iPhone is expected to begin mass production in 2H27.

Shipment Estimates:

1.The complexity of the first-generation foldable iPhone will cap volume production until 2027.

2.Shipments are projected at 3–5 million units for 2026.

3.With the second-generation model included, total foldable iPhone shipments could reach 20 million units in 2027.

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