Tonytan
2024.05.03 07:39

$ 阿里巴巴-SW.HK 錢多估值平,是否市場失明了?不一定。阿里 5 月 14 日公布業績,先看看公司的基本因素。阿里雖平,但護城河沒有$ 腾讯控股.HK 的微信唯一性強,加上騰訊有廣告及視頻號的成長曲綫,阿里除淘天外,其他難上大台,重點是淘天又面對抖音、拼多多競爭。阿里雖嚴重低估,但也有一定合理,但 8 倍 PE 也未免太低了吧?市場預計阿里一季度電商 GMV 增速與行業差異縮小,服飾品類增長顯著,天貓佣金收入同比下降。如氣氛好一點,阿里回 100 元大概不難,同樣電商的京東(9.1 倍)及拼多多(12.2 倍),相比美股的亞馬遜 ev/ebitda 約 22 倍,市場給中國電商的估值都很低。

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