
Traded ValueStock Live Trading P95: The Underlying Logic of Failed Short-Term Trades

Yesterday, a buddy asked me how to trade at night, and I said no trading—not moving is the best move. As a result, the 10,000 HKD I withdrew yesterday arrived, but I couldn't resist and started trading again. Let’s review yesterday’s trades:
1⃣️ Sold the CRWV expiry call at $2.4
Underlying logic: Simply thought the IV was too high, the risk was too big, and steady gains are better.
Loss: From the peak of $8.35, a total loss of $600.
2⃣️ Liquidated small rocket positions and added to Amazon.
Underlying logic: Felt the 70 OTM on the rocket was a bit too high and might not hit. The options already gained 20 points, so took profits. Amazon’s narrative shift really impressed me. M7 has stronger certainty. Missed Meta, didn’t want to miss Amazon. Didn’t buy the 2027 calls because (1) low cost-performance, (2) quick recovery from mispricing—no need to buy too far out. Better for a one-month play.
Loss: Rocket sold for a $170 loss, Amazon lost $120, total $290.
3⃣️ Opened and closed Pinduoduo positions.
Underlying logic: Pinduoduo’s fundamentals haven’t changed, betting on an oversold rebound. Sold later because it tied up too much capital.
Loss: $23.

Total loss: $913, equivalent to over 7,000 HKD. This is the cost of inconsistency in words and actions when trading short-term.
Main positions these two days: Cryptocurrencies and stablecoins continue to rebound. No moves for now, no plans to add (position too heavy). Let the bullets fly for a while and wait for the flowers to bloom.

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