It's time for the Saturday review again, chatting with all the loyal fans and friends

First of all, to celebrate my hardcore fans reaching 3000+, I'm posting this as a memento.

So today I'll take some time to thoroughly analyze my views on some of the stocks I currently hold for my dear fans. These are purely personal opinions and should not be taken as investment advice for anyone. Among them, the stocks that most concern my fans are $Oracle(ORCL.US), $Broadcom(AVGO.US), and $Oklo(OKLO.US)! Today, I'll focus on Oracle.

$Oracle(ORCL.US) is currently the most controversial company. Recently, everyone has been paying attention to this stock—some may genuinely understand it, while others might just be following the trend to ride the hype. Since I started investing in U.S. stocks, I've had one principle: don't buy what I don't understand. Before buying any stock, I research it thoroughly. 😔 So many of you are stuck holding Oracle at high prices—did you even understand what this company does before buying, or did you just chase the surge after its September earnings report? Today, I'll talk about Oracle. Oracle's core strategy revolves around "database + cloud + AI." In my opinion, its strongest business is cloud infrastructure (OCI), while its traditional database business remains robust as its foundation. These two businesses complement each other, forming its core competitiveness. Many of you might not fully grasp this, but to put it simply, all of TikTok's data, including data from major Hollywood movies, is uploaded to Oracle. With so many users worldwide, massive amounts of data are constantly being uploaded to its cloud database. First, such large databases consume enormous amounts of electricity—like a money-devouring beast—and require massive GPUs (here, it's using $NVIDIA(NVDA.US)). So, it's definitely costly. 😰 In this field globally, very few companies can compete with Oracle. If, as Wall Street and Morgan Stanley analysts say, OpenAI suddenly hits the brakes, leading to funding shortages and unfulfilled contracts, Oracle's early investments could lead to a cash crunch. Oracle is also burning a lot of money expanding into AI. From this perspective, there are indeed risks. But these calculations are based on the assumption that Oracle won't develop new businesses amid intensifying market competition and that AI is a bubble. If AI really is a bubble, when it bursts, it won't just be Oracle collapsing. 🤣 Because when an avalanche comes, no snowflake is innocent. Ask yourself: if AI's massive impact on our lives is just a bubble, then quickly reallocate to safer sectors. Honestly, if you're looking for excuses, just say they bought a ton of PUTs. Lately, I've been puzzled—whether it's Oracle, Broadcom, or even the Nasdaq index, there have been many large PUT orders. On the day Oracle hit $220, I saw tons of Oracle $190 PUTs expiring on December 12. I thought it'd be hard to reach that strike price, but last night, they were executed. This kind of power isn't something ordinary individuals or institutions can wield. Adding it all up, everything unusual makes sense. Look at Oracle's trading volume over the past three days—it suddenly jumped from $3-5 billion daily to over $10 billion, peaking at around $19.5 billion on earnings day. Normally, given its current market cap and hype, this is hard to achieve. Capital never shows mercy when harvesting retail investors—this is truly killing three birds with one arrow. ➹

1️⃣ First bird: Most retail investors tried to overtake on a curve, buying overpriced Oracle's last-minute calls. I mentioned in my post a couple of days ago how dangerous this abnormal ratio is—they got completely eaten by these options.

2️⃣ Second bird: They hammered the stock with large PUT orders to a level where they could exercise, making a huge profit—absolutely loaded. Not everyone likes to buy high and sell low.

3️⃣ Third bird: For various reasons, the sell-off and dumping caused the stock price to plummet 📉, creating panic. Loss-making retail investors rushed to cut losses, and all these shares were scooped up at low prices. Later, they'll release some positive news to pump the stock again. When retail investors chase, they'll repeat the cycle. Not everyone can stay calm facing massive losses.

All the above views are solely my personal opinions, representing only my shallow analysis, and should not be taken as investment guidance or advice.