Stock analysis, watch carefully and learn well

$Tesla(TSLA.US) A new wave of rally has started, but the current position is too high, I'm afraid. The trend is upward, this wave may break through 500 to around 520, but I can't accept the risk-reward ratio and pullback ratio. Those still holding positions can keep them.

$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)Technically: Small bullish recovery in a volatile uptrend, short-term support at the 5-day moving average but facing resistance at the 20-day moving average. Trading volume has shrunk over the last 3 sessions with no signs of large capital outflows. Fundamentals: Announced the Nemotron 3 open-source model series. The technological moat in AI computing remains intact, but institutions have not lowered their revenue expectations for AI chips in 2026. No substantial negative fundamentals. The trend is a slow bull run upward, this wave is likely to reach around $185-190, but the current position is just a step away from previous highs, and the risk-reward ratio is not favorable. Those still in positions can hold, but new entrants should not chase. Wait for a pullback to around $170 for a better entry point. Stop loss at $160.

$Oracle(ORCL.US)Technically: Weak pullback after breaking below the 10-day moving average. Support at $180 is the previous consolidation platform. If lost, it may further test $175. Short-term washout characteristics are evident. Fundamentals: JPMorgan pointed out that its "aggressive AI investments have raised bond market concerns." The company continues to take on debt to boost AI computing power, and debt-side pressure is being priced in by the market. Short-term fundamentals face sentiment-driven headwinds. Entering now is like catching a falling knife. Wait for two signals—either a rebound with volume at $180 or easing bond market concerns. Otherwise, at most, test with a small position. Do not go heavy.

$Broadcom(AVGO.US)Technically: A large bearish candlestick broke below the 20-day moving average with increased volume, indicating a breakdown due to capital outflows. Likely to retest the previous support at $320. A deep washout is inevitable. Fundamentals: No direct negative news, but the semiconductor sector as a whole is affected by expectations of a Bank of Japan rate hike. Funds are withdrawing from high-flying chip stocks, and Broadcom, as a heavyweight, is being dragged down. No substantial deterioration in fundamentals. Trapped holders should not panic-sell now. A rebound is likely near $320. New entrants should wait and observe. After the breakdown, a slow decline will take time to digest. Wait for at least 3 sessions of stabilization before considering entry.

$Circle(CRCL.US)Technically: Gapped down sharply, directly breaking the 60-day moving average. No short-term support. Bearish momentum is extremely strong. Likely to drift lower toward $70. Fundamentals: Announced the acquisition of Interop Labs, the initial development team behind Axelar, as part of blockchain sector expansion. However, the market is skeptical about post-acquisition integration, and the cryptocurrency sector has been weak recently, weighing on sentiment. Entering now is forcing the issue. Stay away until direction is clear. Observe for two days to gauge bearish momentum. If $70 is lost, consider shorting. If it rebounds to $80 with volume, then test a small long position.

$Micron Tech(MU.US)Stabilized with a bullish candlestick at the 5-day moving average. Volume shrank, indicating weak recovery in the memory sector. Strong resistance at $250. A breakout requires volume support. Fundamentals: JPMorgan is bullish on the memory market, expecting industry giants' market cap to approach $1 trillion this year. As a memory leader, Micron's upward industry cycle logic remains intact. Fundamentals are positive. The trend is upward but slow. This wave may reach $250-255, but upside is limited. Holders can keep positions. New entrants should wait for a pullback to $235 for better risk-reward.

$Alibaba(BABA.US) Technically: Pullback after breaking below the 10-day moving average. Support at $145 is the previous level. If lost, it may test $140. Short-term consolidation and washout dominate. Fundamentals: No direct negative news. Mainly dragged down by overall China stock sentiment and the pullback in U.S. tech stocks. E-commerce and cloud business fundamentals show no deterioration. Trapped holders need not panic. A rebound is likely near $145. New entrants can nibble with small positions. The medium-to-long-term trend is still upward, but short-term selling pressure needs digestion.

$Coreweave(CRWV.US)Technically: Medium bearish candlestick after breaking below the 10-day moving average. Volume increased slightly. Support at $70 is the previous consolidation platform. If lost, it may test $65. Short-term washout characteristics are evident. Fundamentals: As an AI computing service provider, no direct negative news. Mainly dragged down by the overall tech pullback and Bank of Japan rate hike expectations. The fundamental logic of industry computing demand remains intact. Entering now carries more risk than reward. Trapped holders can wait for a rebound at $70 support. New entrants should wait for a pullback to the $68-70 range. Stop loss at $65.

$Amazon(AMZN.US)Weak pullback but still oscillating between the 5-day and 20-day moving averages. Volume shrank, with no signs of large capital outflows. Low probability of deep washout. Fundamentals: Bezos, Musk, and Huang are jointly venturing into new tech fields. Market expectations for cloud + e-commerce compound growth remain unchanged. No substantial negative fundamentals. Slow bull trend upward. This wave may reach $230-235. Holders can keep positions. New entrants should wait for a pullback below $220 for small entries. Stop loss at $215.

$Coinbase(COIN.US)Technically: Large bearish candlestick broke below the 20-day moving average with increased volume, indicating a breakdown due to capital outflows. Likely to retest previous support at $240. Fundamentals: The cryptocurrency sector is weak overall, with Bitcoin on the verge of a breakdown. Market sentiment toward crypto exchanges is cautious. No direct company-level negative news. Do not bottom-fish after the breakdown. Observe for stabilization signals near $240. If it rebounds with volume, test a small position. If $240 is lost, next target is $220.

$PDD(PDD.US)Technically: Minor pullback with shrinking volume, indicating consolidation washout. Strong support at $110. Very low probability of breaking below. Fundamentals: Cross-border e-commerce continues to grow. Overseas expansion fundamentals are solid. No negative news. Slightly dragged down by overall China stock sentiment. Low risk at this level. Holders can keep positions. New entrants can nibble. Target $115-120. Stop loss at $108.

$Robinhood(HOOD.US)Weak pullback after breaking below the 5-day moving average. Support at $115, strong support at $110. Short-term consolidation dominates. Entry now offers poor risk-reward. Wait for stabilization at $115. If $110 is lost, abandon. Reduce positions at $120.

$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)Technically: Minor decline with shrinking volume, indicating strong consolidation. Strong resistance at $300, support at $285. Fundamentals: As a semiconductor foundry leader, tight advanced node capacity fundamentals remain unchanged. JPMorgan's bullish view on memory indirectly benefits TSMC. Upward trend but slow. Holders can keep. New entrants should wait for a dip to $285. Add on breakout above $300. Stop loss at $280.

$Apple(AAPL.US)Technically: Pullback but still near the 5-day moving average. Volume shrank, indicating normal washout. Strong support at $270. Stock volatility is affected by tech sector sentiment. No need to panic at this level. Existing holders can keep. New entrants can nibble in the $270-275 range. Target $280-285. Stop loss at $265.

$Palantir Tech(PLTR.US)Small bullish candlestick against the trend, stabilizing above the 5-day moving average with moderate volume. A strong tech stock. Resistance at $190. AI government/enterprise service orders continue to land, profitability is improving, and institutions have raised earnings forecasts. Fundamentals are positive. Upward trend. Holders can keep. New entrants can chase with small positions. Add on breakout above $190. Stop loss at $180. This wave may reach around $195.

$AMD(AMD.US)Minor decline with shrinking volume, indicating consolidation. Support at $205, resistance at $215. Suitable for swing trading—reduce near $215, add near $205. New entrants should wait for a breakout above $215 or pullback to $205.

$Intel(INTC.US)Minor pullback. Support at $37, strong support at $36. Short-term consolidation washout dominates. Weak support fundamentally, pure speculation. Suggest reducing near $38. New entrants should avoid unless it breaks above $40 with volume.

$Sandisk(SNDK.US)Minor decline with shrinking volume, indicating weak recovery in the memory sector. Support at $200, resistance at $210. As a memory sub-sector leader, the upward industry cycle logic is favorable. Upward trend. Holders can keep. New entrants should wait for a dip to $200. Stop loss at $195.

$Netflix(NFLX.US)Pullback after breaking below the 5-day moving average. Strong support at $90. Short-term washout due to news of Warner acquisition being disrupted. The company quickly reassured stakeholders and promised theatrical release plans. The negative is sentiment-driven, not fundamental. Streaming business fundamentals are stable. Strong support near $90. Existing holders need not panic-sell. New entrants can nibble in the $90-92 range. Reduce near $98. Stop loss at $88.

$Alphabet - C(GOOG.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)Volume shrank. Strong support at $300. Normal washout. OpenAI hired a Google executive to lead M&A, reflecting Google's AI talent pool advantage. Search and cloud business fundamentals unaffected. $300 is a safe margin. Existing holders can keep. New entrants can nibble in the $300-305 range. Stop loss at $295.

$Rocket Lab(RKLB.US)Technically: Large bearish candlestick broke all moving averages with surging volume, indicating a crash due to capital outflows. Likely to drift toward $50. Observe for now. Wait for at least a week of sideways trading after the drop.