2026 US Stock Investment Strategy & Best Growth Stock Selection

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1. Comprehensive Assessment:
Stocks ≥ Commodities = Gold ≥ BTC (Not bearish, or with significant expectation gap)

 

2. U.S. Stocks:
1. Liquidity: Moderate rate cuts (Baseline: 2 cuts totaling 50BP to 3.0%-3.25%; Optimistic: 4 cuts totaling 100BP; Pessimistic: 1 cut of 25BP);
2. Industry: AI industry cycle (When everyone stops fearing the "wolf," that's when the real wolf arrives—similar to the internet era in 1996-1997. 2028 may be an inflection point; capital expenditure to application validation, with commercial barriers and profits determining valuations. AI PPT companies or AI firms without moats will struggle);
3. Geopolitics: (East-West tensions and localized global conflicts persist, still offering Buy-the-Dip opportunities. A 10%+ Nasdaq correction is a chance to gradually long call core stocks).

 

3. Allocation: Based on market trends and macro conditions, switch between growth (50%-100%) and value (0%-25%)/cyclical (0%-25%).

1. Structural divergence within growth stocks is becoming evident. Below are the sectors and "twin stars" I favor:
 

  • Magnificent Seven: NVDA, TSLA, GOOG (top three in AI); MSFT, META, AMZN (relatively undervalued); AAPL (the hardest asset, a 20% core holding in every U.S. stock account).
  • Data Centers: NBIS, IREN; ORCL, CRWV (with expectation gaps).
  • Space: RKLB, ASTS (the final frontier—won’t sell core holdings before $50B market cap); LUNR, FLY, VOYG (high volatility, low conviction currently).
  • Nuclear: OKLO, SMR (OKLO for imagination, SMR for engineering); LEU.
  • Drones: AVAV, KTOS; ONDO, RDW (speculative plays, only AVAV has strong backing).
  • DAT: MSTR, BMNR (significant expectation gaps).
  • Crypto Stocks: COIN, CRCL, FIGR (COIN remains the top crypto stock).
  • AI Finance: HOOD, SOFI (SOFI at ~23 offers high win rate and payoff).
  • Robotics: TSLA, AMZN; RR, SERV (high volatility, few small/mid-caps with both imagination and earnings).
  • AI Apps: PLTR (past AI plays like TEMPUS, HIMS, DUOL lacked moats—speculative, low conviction).
  • Memory: MU, SANDIK (supply-demand mismatch until 2026, price-insensitive but quality-sensitive buyers; but 2025 gains may be overdone).
  • Energy Storage: GEV, BE, CSIQ, TE.
  • Semis: INTC, ASML, AMAT, LRCX; MRVL (bullish on INTC, but breakout year is 2027).
  • Other Small-Cap High-Betas: PATH (RPA+AI, needs next earnings to confirm inflection), RXRX (high win/payoff at ~4.1), CLSK.


2. Value
Value stocks are inherently low-volatility. Use stocks + options: BRKB, KO, MCD.
 

3. Cyclicals
Lithium (ALB), Copper (FCX), Gold (NEM). For volatility lovers, explore leveraged products or options.
 

4. High-Leverage Plays
TQQQ, FNGU: Not for long holds. Scale into dips >5% on Nasdaq, take profits on rebounds.

 

Limited by my bandwidth. Fellow Longbridgers, if you track high-quality U.S. growth stocks (strong earnings + imagination + momentum + liquidity), comment below with a one-liner rationale. Thanks!

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