佳昊研究
2025.12.22 03:31

Tech stocks have rebounded from the bottom, coupled with the Christmas rally, at least the upward trend continues before Christmas! The previous decline was too severe, let's summarize and analyze again:

*The AI bubble has been persistent for more than two months, as this year's gains have been too much, especially the tech sector hitting new highs, with significant pressure at high levels. Institutions have taken profits at high prices while also looking to pick up lower-priced, blood-stained chips!

*Oracle and other AI earnings fell short of Wall Street analysts' expectations, providing a negative catalyst to suppress high-flying tech stocks!

*The divergence between the Federal Reserve and the Trump administration over interest rate cuts, especially

the hawkish rhetoric, seems almost designed to facilitate institutional short-selling!

*Japan's rate hike expectations have reduced global liquidity, further amplifying the negative sentiment and accelerating the downward trend in tech stocks!

In summary, in the future, whether it's the index hitting new highs or individual stocks reaching new highs, coupled with negative market sentiment, it goes without saying that institutions will surely take profits and prepare for short-selling pressure! This round of high-level pullback, with all the negative factors exhausted, has finally ushered in a wave of upward movement, at least a relatively stable upward trend before Christmas!$Invesco QQQ Trust(QQQ.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Alphabet(GOOGL.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$Amazon(AMZN.US)$Oracle(ORCL.US)$Nebius(NBIS.US)$Coreweave(CRWV.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$Microsoft(MSFT.US)$NuScale Power(SMR.US)$AMD(AMD.US)o$Broadcom(AVGO.US)

LongPort - 佳昊研究
佳昊研究

*Interest rate hike was confirmed on the 18th, and the rate was announced and confirmed today (19th). Japan's rate hike has finally landed! All negative factors have been exhausted, and U.S. stocks, especially the tech sector, are starting to recover. Tonight is highly likely to open high and rise further. Everyone, please hold on and don't get shaken off by the volatility! The recent negative news from Wall Street is nothing more than using Oracle's performance/hawkish uncertainty/Japan's rate hike to pave the way for big capital to pick up cheap stocks!

*Yesterday, my published comments were mostly correct, and today I’m following up with another comment!

*PS: There is no bubble in AI, see my previous analysis (referenced article below) $Alphabet(GOOGL.US)$Taiwan Semiconductor(TSM.US)$Intel(INTC.US)$Tesla(TSLA.US)$Meta Platforms(META.US)$Microsoft(MSFT.US)$Broadcom(AVGO.US)$Micron Tech(MU.US)$Coreweave(CRWV.US)$AMD(AMD.US)$Oracle(ORCL.US)$Amazon(AMZN.US)$NVIDIA(NVDA.US)$Nebius(NBIS.US)

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