Honestly, trading Hong Kong and US stocks recently has been really grinding. Luckily, Longbridge skill helps a lot, saving me the trouble of manually organizing data and summarizing market sentiment! I used Longbridge skill to pull today's market data and sentiment trends with one click, and sorted out the overall market situation. This is purely my personal feeling and does not constitute investment advice. Just take a look~

First, let's talk about the overall market environment. Both Nasdaq and Hong Kong stocks have recently been shrouded in the atmosphere of "global synchronized decline," which is also the core consensus in current market sentiment. A user posted in the community saying, "Whether it's US stocks or Hong Kong stocks, the indices are falling. No market can stay immune." This post received many comments, confirming that everyone feels this cross-market downward pressure.

Looking at Nasdaq first, bearish and panic sentiment dominates the community discussions. A user complained, "I've been trading for so long, never been this miserable," and another said, "QQQ is being manipulated," showing strong pessimism. However, a few people rationally reminded others, "The non-farm payroll data isn't out yet, don't act blindly." But overall, negative sentiment prevails. Trading behavior also shows that everyone is frequently engaging in short-term trades. For example, someone shared zero-day option trading techniques, which indirectly indicates that retail investor sentiment is unstable, and no reliable bottom signal has been found.

As for Hong Kong stocks, the sentiment is filled with voices like "A-shares are dragging us down, foreign capital isn't entering." Many believe "Hong Kong stocks simply can't strengthen independently." There's even a hot post saying, "Tech stocks have fallen too hard, I don't dare to buy." The sentiment index is only 35, not extremely cold, but definitely not optimistic either. Coupled with net outflows of southbound capital and continuous declines in leading stocks, everyone is watching and waiting, with no one daring to act easily.

Using Longbridge skill to detect bottom signals reveals that neither Nasdaq nor Hong Kong stocks have reached a true bottom. Nasdaq shows signs of a V-shaped rebound, but with non-farm payroll data pending and hedge funds reducing positions, sentiment hasn't reached extreme panic. Hong Kong stocks are even worse, lacking clear technical divergence and stability in leading stocks, with only a 40% probability of bottoming out.

In summary: Nasdaq is slightly better, with a 60% probability of bottoming out, likely seeing a turnaround by mid-April. Hong Kong stocks are still in a downtrend, needing sentiment to cool further and negative news to be digested. Tonight's non-farm payroll data is crucial. If the data is strong, pressure will continue. If it's weak, it might signal the exhaustion of negative news.

To be honest, whether it's the "huge loss complaints" in the Nasdaq community or the "dare not operate" sentiment in the Hong Kong stock community, it's clear that everyone's emotions are very unstable, with frequent short-term trading, making the market harder to stabilize. As the saying goes, now is not the time for reckless execution. Wait for sentiment to stabilize further and negative news to be fully exhausted before slowly taking action, which is safer.