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<p>Bank of America believes that the Federal Reserve's Reserve Management Purchase Program (RMP) combined with the Treasury's bond issuance strategy adjustments forms a "quasi-QE combination." In 2026, the Federal Reserve is expected to purchase $560 billion in short-term bonds, while the Treasury will simultaneously issue an additional $500 billion in short-term bonds and reduce the issuance of medium- and long-term bonds by $600 billion. This change in supply structure will effectively reduce market duration risk and is expected to exert downward pressure of 20-30 basis points on the yield of 10-year U.S. Treasuries</p>

- The Federal Reserve's new Reserve Management Purchases (RMPs) program, in conjunction with the U.S. Treasury's bond issuance strategy, is creating effects similar to quantitative easing (QE).  
- Bank of America projects that in 2026, the Fed will purchase $560 billion in Treasury bills through RMPs and MBS reinvestments, while the Treasury plans to issue an additional $500 billion in short-term bills and reduce long-term bond issuance by $600 billion.  
- This coordinated adjustment is expected to exert downward pressure on long-term interest rates, potentially lowering the 10-year Treasury yield by 20-30 basis points.

Wallstreetcn

Federal Reserve RMP+ U.S. Treasury Department U.S. debt issuance management ≈ QE?

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